Nacional 0-2 Fernando De La Mora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 8 Jul 2025

📅08/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.81
Away Pick
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.23
Over
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
44%
4-5
23%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Fernando De La Mora win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
11%
+10.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.6pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-13.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Fernando De La Mora The Market 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional
0-2
AWAY Fernando De La Mora
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional vs Fernando De La Mora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fernando De La Mora saw off Nacional 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fernando De La Mora as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional had 36% of the ball to Fernando De La Mora's 64%, shots finished 4-18.

What was the final score of Nacional vs Fernando De La Mora?

Nacional 0-2 Fernando De La Mora in the Paraguay - Cup on 08/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional vs Fernando De La Mora?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fernando De La Mora win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nacional 22%, draw 20%, Fernando De La Mora 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fernando De La Mora), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fernando De La Mora) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PARK More Paraguay - Cup
8 Jul 2025
21:30 General Artigas vs B. Aceval Analysis →