NEC Nijmegen 2-3 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Jul 2026

NEC Nijmegen
2-3 HT 0-2
MSV Duisburg
📅08/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.89
Over 2.5
52%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.15
2-3 Goals
38%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.39
6+ Goals
11%
4.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.0pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NEC Nijmegen v MSV Duisburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
3.48/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.22
+73% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg edged past NEC Nijmegen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. NEC Nijmegen carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?

NEC Nijmegen 2-3 MSV Duisburg in the Friendlies on 08/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 60%, draw 21%, MSV Duisburg 19%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
8 Jul 2026
12:00 Zaglebie Lubin vs Banik Ostrava Analysis →
12:00 Tychy 71 vs Sparta K. Analysis →
12:30 Pogon Szczecin vs Chrobry Glogow Analysis →
13:00 Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg IF Analysis →
13:00 Kluczbork vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec Analysis →
13:00 Aalborg vs Randers FC Analysis →