Al Ahli 3-1 Moghayer Al Sarhan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 8 Aug 2024

Al Ahli
3-1 HT 1-0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
📅08/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Jordan - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Ahli vs Moghayer Al Sarhan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli v Moghayer Al Sarhan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghayer Al Sarhan EU Bookmakers 29%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.68
-29% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Ahli vs Moghayer Al Sarhan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Moghayer Al Sarhan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 1-2 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan ÜRD
16.09.2023 Moghayer Al Sarhan Moghayer Al Sarhan 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli saw off Moghayer Al Sarhan 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Al Ahli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Moghayer Al Sarhan led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli and 1.50 for Moghayer Al Sarhan.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Moghayer Al Sarhan?

Al Ahli 3-1 Moghayer Al Sarhan in the Jordan - Premier League on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Moghayer Al Sarhan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 35%, draw 33%, Moghayer Al Sarhan 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✗ Under 2.5
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