Vancouver Whitecaps 0-2 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 8 Aug 2024

Vancouver Whitecaps
0-2 HT 0-1
Pumas UNAM
📅08/08/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Concacaf League Cup – 2024

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.27
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
10%
12.25
X/1
12%
5.29
X/2
12%
6.29
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
4.18
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vancouver Whitecaps v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
– Crosses 15.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Vancouver Whitecaps 0-2 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
0-2
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.70 xG 0.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
484 Passes 300
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM beat Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Pumas UNAM found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 60% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 40%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.70 to 0.71.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Pumas UNAM?

Vancouver Whitecaps 0-2 Pumas UNAM in the Concacaf League Cup on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 39%, draw 29%, Pumas UNAM 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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