Mısır U23 0-6 Fas U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.96
2-3 Goals
49%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
3.13
6+ Goals
8%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 26% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.15
1/2
15%
23.15
1/X
3%
14.55
X/1
9%
10.95
X/2
12%
4.13
X/X
23%
5.18
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.05
2/X
2%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mısır U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Fas U23 EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -69% / -69%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -64%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
219 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mısır U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fas U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 1.30
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
225 Passes 474
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.07.2023 Fas U23 Fas U23 2-1 HT 1-1 Mısır U23 Mısır U23 AFRU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mısır U23
0-6
AWAY Fas U23
0.49 xG 1.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
364 Passes 328
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mısır U23 vs Fas U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas U23 ran out comfortable winners over Mısır U23 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fas U23 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mısır U23 had 53% of the ball to Fas U23's 47%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.49 to 1.19.

What was the final score of Mısır U23 vs Fas U23?

Mısır U23 0-6 Fas U23 in the Olympics on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mısır U23 vs Fas U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fas U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mısır U23 26%, draw 28%, Fas U23 46%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fas U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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