Caen 3-0 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Aug 2025

Caen
3-0 HT 1-0
Aubagne
📅08/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Caen vs Aubagne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
2.05
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.9
X/1
9%
3.92
X/2
5%
10.6
X/X
12%
4.93
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
10%
9.22
2/X
5%
17.9
Value flag · 1/X at 15.9 — our 10% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caen v Aubagne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.1
POST-MATCH Caen vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen ran out comfortable winners over Aubagne 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Caen vs Aubagne?

Caen 3-0 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Caen 53%, draw 27%, Aubagne 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
8 Aug 2025
20:30 Rouen vs FC Fleury 91 Analysis →
20:30 Le Puy vs Sochaux Analysis →
20:30 Chateauroux vs Valenciennes Analysis →
20:30 Paris 13 Atletico vs Quevilly Analysis →
20:30 Villefranche vs Concarneau Analysis →
20:30 Stade Briochin vs Versailles Analysis →