Merthyr Town 2-0 Hednesford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
9.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.2pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hednesford Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.98/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.79
+36% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +72%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merthyr Town
2-0
AWAY Hednesford Town
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town got the better of Hednesford Town 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Merthyr Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town?

Merthyr Town 2-0 Hednesford Town in the England - Conference on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hednesford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 35%, draw 25%, Hednesford Town 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hednesford Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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