Burnley vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burnley v Notts County — Team-Based Signals
Burnley 1-1 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics
Burnley and Notts County shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Burnley at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.85 to 0.35.
What was the final score of Burnley vs Notts County?
Burnley 1-1 Notts County in the England - League Cup on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burnley vs Notts County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Burnley 64%, draw 20%, Notts County 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley), Over 2.5 went the other way.