Burton Albion 1-2 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.96
6+ Goals
11%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 52%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.41/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.30/0.85
-76% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
225 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 50.0
16.1 Crosses 8.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
194 Passes 326
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 24
6 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.02.2017 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
20.08.2016 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
1-2
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.85 xG 3.59
17 Total Shots 27
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
212 Passes 418
22 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers edged past Burton Albion 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Blackburn Rovers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 17-27, expected goals 1.85 to 3.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Blackburn Rovers's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Burton Albion and 1.50 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers?

Burton Albion 1-2 Blackburn Rovers in the England - League Cup on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 29%, draw 27%, Blackburn Rovers 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackburn Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNLK More England - League Cup
8 Aug 2026
15:00 Cambridge United vs Barnet Analysis →
16:00 Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall Analysis →
17:00 Watford vs Crawley Town Analysis →
17:00 Preston vs Huddersfield Town Analysis →
17:00 Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Norwich City vs Milton Keynes Dons Analysis →