West Ham United 3-1 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.7
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.8
X/1
22%
3.99
X/2
6%
14.3
X/X
10%
6.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.65
2/2
6%
11.8
2/X
5%
19.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.65 — our 13% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.1pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.80/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.92
+49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
53.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.9 Crosses 21.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Portsmouth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
14.01.2012 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-1 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNCL
10.09.2011 West Ham United West Ham United 4-3 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
26.01.2010 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
26.12.2009 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP
26.12.2008 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-4 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
15.11.2008 West Ham United West Ham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
3-1
AWAY Portsmouth
2.00 xG 0.72
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
280 Passes 331
21 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United got the better of Portsmouth 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had West Ham United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.00 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for West Ham United and 0.83 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Portsmouth?

West Ham United 3-1 Portsmouth in the England - League Cup on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 60%, draw 22%, Portsmouth 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Ham United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Ham United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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