St. Truidense 1-1 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.81
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.2
X/1
18%
4.03
X/2
6%
12.6
X/X
8%
6.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.15
2/2
12%
10.1
2/X
4%
18.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.15 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.9 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lommel United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 11
14.07.2018 Lommel United Lommel United 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Truidense
1-1
AWAY Lommel United
1.98 xG 1.49
32 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
570 Passes 262
52 Box Touches 24
44 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense and Lommel United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had St. Truidense at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 32-9, expected goals 1.98 to 1.49.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Lommel United?

St. Truidense 1-1 Lommel United in the Belgium - Pro League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 55%, draw 22%, Lommel United 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Truidense), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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