Seongnam 3-2 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.32/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.1 Crosses 26.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
3-2
AWAY Changwon City
22 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam squeezed past Changwon City 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Seongnam as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 22-18.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Changwon City?

Seongnam 3-2 Changwon City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seongnam win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 41%, draw 31%, Changwon City 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seongnam), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seongnam) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
8 Aug 2026
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