Omiya Ardija 1-0 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.35/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.53
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
310 Passes 674
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2022 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
26.02.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-2 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
09.08.2021 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-2 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
05.05.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-3 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
20.12.2020 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 3-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
08.08.2020 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-1 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija edged past Albirex Niigata 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.67 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata?

Omiya Ardija 1-0 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J2 League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 43%, draw 25%, Albirex Niigata 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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