Gambiya 1-2 Tunus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 8 Sep 2024

Gambiya
1-2 HT 1-1
Tunus
📅08/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2025

Gambiya vs Tunus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.41
Over 2.5
42%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.99
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
15%
6.65
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+7.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
67%
-9.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
33%
+9.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gambiya v Tunus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gambiya EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Tunus EU Bookmakers 53%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.29/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.69
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
5.0 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Gambiya vs Tunus Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gambiya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tunus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.29 xG 1.46
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 11
124 Passes 380
60% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 24
5 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2022 Gambiya Gambiya 1-0 HT 0-0 Tunus Tunus AFUK

Gambiya 1-2 Tunus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gambiya
1-2
AWAY Tunus
1.19 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 374
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gambiya vs Tunus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tunus edged past Gambiya 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tunus as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gambiya had 47% of the ball to Tunus's 53%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.19 to 1.03.

What was the final score of Gambiya vs Tunus?

Gambiya 1-2 Tunus in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gambiya vs Tunus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gambiya 29%, draw 26%, Tunus 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tunus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tunus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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