Alvarado 0-2 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.31/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.22
+15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.04.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 3-0 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
01.10.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 1-1 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste saw off Alvarado 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alvarado at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alvarado and 2.00 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Alvarado 0-2 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 41%, draw 27%, Ferro Carril Oeste 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alvarado) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvarado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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