Guayaquil City 3-1 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guayaquil City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guayaquil City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Delfin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
350 Passes 188
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
22.04.2023 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 2-1 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
30.07.2022 Delfin Delfin 1-3 HT 1-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
15.03.2022 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 1-1 HT 1-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
15.08.2021 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 2-1 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
14.03.2021 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guayaquil City
3-1
AWAY Delfin
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guayaquil City vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guayaquil City saw off Delfin 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and on the day Guayaquil City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guayaquil City had 55% of the ball to Delfin's 45%, shots finished 21-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guayaquil City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guayaquil City and 1.00 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Guayaquil City vs Delfin?

Guayaquil City 3-1 Delfin in the Ecuador - Cup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guayaquil City vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guayaquil City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guayaquil City 40%, draw 28%, Delfin 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guayaquil City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guayaquil City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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