Paju Citizen 3-1 Pocheon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pocheon EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
0.99/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.54
-18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pocheon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.07.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 3-1 HT 2-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
08.04.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 1-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
25.06.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 2-2 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Pocheon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen got the better of Pocheon 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Paju Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paju Citizen and 1.33 for Pocheon.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Pocheon?

Paju Citizen 3-1 Pocheon in the South Kore - K3 League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Pocheon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 37%, draw 27%, Pocheon 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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