Molde II 1-1 Gjellerasen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.68
Over 2.5
70%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.31
No
36%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
16%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-5.1pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+6.1pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-6.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.0pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gjellerasen EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.53/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/2.38
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
502 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gjellerasen
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
09.06.2024 Gjellerasen Gjellerasen 4-4 HT 1-1 Molde II Molde II NOR4
POST-MATCH Molde II vs Gjellerasen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde II and Gjellerasen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Molde II at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

What was the final score of Molde II vs Gjellerasen?

Molde II 1-1 Gjellerasen in the Norway - 3rd Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde II vs Gjellerasen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Molde II 55%, draw 19%, Gjellerasen 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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