Neftekhimik 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.12/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.09
-2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
13.08.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
20.05.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
29.10.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
16.04.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
03.10.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-3 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
0-1
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk nicked a narrow win over Neftekhimik 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Neftekhimik at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 41% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 59%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Neftekhimik and 1.67 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Neftekhimik 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 41%, draw 27%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Neftekhimik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →