Estonya U21 1-1 İzlanda U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
60%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
27%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.3pp
60%
Away Win
56%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estonya U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.43/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.09
+48% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -19%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estonya U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY İzlanda U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
06.09.2018 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 5-2 HT 3-0 Estonya U21 Estonya U21 U21
14.11.2017 Estonya U21 Estonya U21 2-3 HT 1-0 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estonya U21
1-1
AWAY İzlanda U21
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estonya U21 vs İzlanda U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estonya U21 and İzlanda U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. İzlanda U21 carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estonya U21 had 37% of the ball to İzlanda U21's 63%, shots finished 5-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İzlanda U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Estonya U21 and 4.00 for İzlanda U21.

What was the final score of Estonya U21 vs İzlanda U21?

Estonya U21 1-1 İzlanda U21 in the European U21 on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estonya U21 vs İzlanda U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an İzlanda U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Estonya U21 20%, draw 20%, İzlanda U21 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İzlanda U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İzlanda U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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