Tamworth 2-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 8 Oct 2024

Tamworth
2-1 HT 1-0
Gateshead
📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Tamworth vs Gateshead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.45
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
11%
7.05
X/2
10%
4.58
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.78
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tamworth v Gateshead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.54/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.77
+18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
61 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 124 · 95%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Tamworth vs Gateshead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gateshead
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
The Meetings
05.04.2014 Gateshead Gateshead 5-0 HT 1-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
21.09.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
02.02.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 2-0 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
15.09.2012 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
24.03.2012 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
03.12.2011 Gateshead Gateshead 1-2 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth FAK

Tamworth 2-1 Gateshead — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
2-1
AWAY Gateshead
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
2 Passes 0
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth nicked a narrow win over Gateshead 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tamworth had 33% of the ball to Gateshead's 67%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tamworth had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tamworth and 1.33 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Gateshead?

Tamworth 2-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 32%, draw 26%, Gateshead 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gateshead) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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