Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Oct 2024

Defensa y Justicia
2-1 HT 2-0
Rosario Central
📅08/10/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Defensa y Justicia vs Rosario Central Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
6.04
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.77
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
17%
4.88
X/2
17%
5.69
X/X
17%
3.4
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
8%
4.68
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.7pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Rosario Central — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.41/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.27
+15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.5 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Defensa y Justicia vs Rosario Central Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rosario Central
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 290
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.05.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-1 HT 1-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
10.10.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
06.11.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-0 HT 2-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
02.01.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-0 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
25.02.2020 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-0 HT 2-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
18.09.2018 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Rosario Central — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
2-1
AWAY Rosario Central
0.77 xG 1.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 12
264 Passes 217
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
10 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 40
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia squeezed past Rosario Central 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Defensa y Justicia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 51% of the ball to Rosario Central's 49%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.77 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.83 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Rosario Central?

Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 40%, draw 29%, Rosario Central 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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