Biggleswade Town 0-6 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 8 Oct 2024

Biggleswade Town
0-6
Alfreton Town
📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Biggleswade Town vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
43%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
18%
+17.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
61%
-18.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.1pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Biggleswade Town v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Biggleswade Town EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 66%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.00/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.83
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +30%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Biggleswade Town vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town ran out comfortable winners over Biggleswade Town 6-0 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alfreton Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Biggleswade Town vs Alfreton Town?

Biggleswade Town 0-6 Alfreton Town in the England - FA Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Biggleswade Town vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Biggleswade Town 35%, draw 21%, Alfreton Town 43%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ BTTS No
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