Mjöndalen II 3-1 Ullern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
45%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.15
2-3 Goals
39%
2.33
4-5 Goals
29%
2.38
6+ Goals
11%
4.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.4pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.5pp
45%
Away Win
64%
-19.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjöndalen II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ullern EU Bookmakers 69%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.45/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.72
+57% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
224 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjöndalen II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ullern
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.06.2024 Ullern Ullern 4-1 HT 1-0 Mjöndalen II Mjöndalen II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjöndalen II
3-1
AWAY Ullern
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mjöndalen II vs Ullern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjöndalen II beat Ullern 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ullern at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mjöndalen II had 34% of the ball to Ullern's 66%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Mjöndalen II vs Ullern?

Mjöndalen II 3-1 Ullern in the Norway - 3rd Division on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjöndalen II vs Ullern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ullern win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mjöndalen II 28%, draw 28%, Ullern 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ullern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ullern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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