Barnsley 2-0 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

Barnsley
2-0 HT 1-0
Rotherham United
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Barnsley vs Rotherham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.68
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.4
X/2
8%
7.4
X/X
9%
4.61
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
5.57
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barnsley v Rotherham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.30/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.99
+7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 65%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.5 Crosses 23.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2

Barnsley vs Rotherham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rotherham United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
180 Passes 181
56% Pass Accuracy 56%
17 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.04.2021 Barnsley Barnsley 1-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
29.12.2020 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-2 HT 0-2 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
29.07.2017 Rotherham United Rotherham United 4-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley HAZ
28.01.2017 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
27.08.2016 Barnsley Barnsley 4-0 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
19.11.2005 Barnsley Barnsley 1-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1

Barnsley 2-0 Rotherham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
2-0
AWAY Rotherham United
1.70 xG 1.04
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
314 Passes 179
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley got the better of Rotherham United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barnsley as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barnsley had 58% of the ball to Rotherham United's 42%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.70 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barnsley and 1.00 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Rotherham United?

Barnsley 2-0 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 42%, draw 27%, Rotherham United 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnsley), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnsley) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →