Watford 1-0 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.27
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.25
X/1
21%
4.04
X/2
11%
9.22
X/X
9%
4.83
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
7%
7.19
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.47/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.18
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.1 Crosses 8.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Watford
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Oxford United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.99 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
320 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.09.2020 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Watford
1-0
AWAY Oxford United
1.72 xG 1.37
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
404 Passes 226
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Watford vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Watford nicked a narrow win over Oxford United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Watford as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Watford had 60% of the ball to Oxford United's 40%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.72 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Watford vs Oxford United?

Watford 1-0 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Watford win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Watford 47%, draw 24%, Oxford United 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Watford), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Watford) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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