Arsenal (K) 5-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.85
No
37%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
76%
-6.9pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.5pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
50%
+13.1pp
37%
BTTS No
50%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.46/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.56
+18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +17%
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
457 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 68%
52.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
24.4 Crosses 8.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
4.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
2.30 xG 0.39
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
584 Passes 215
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
45 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
29.09.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
28.04.2019 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
25.11.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
5-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
2.83 xG 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
448 Passes 392
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) swept aside Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 52% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 48%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.83 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 4.25 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.25 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Arsenal (K) 5-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 69%, draw 19%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 11%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
8 Nov 2024
22:30 Manchester City (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K) Analysis →