Elche vs Almeria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elche v Almeria — Team-Based Signals
Elche vs Almeria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Almeria
İS1
1-2
HT 1-0
Elche
İSPK
0-2
HT 0-0
Elche
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
5-3
HT 3-2
Elche
İS2
2-2
HT 1-0
Almeria
İS2
Elche 1-2 Almeria — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria squeezed past Elche 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Elche at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Elche had 58% of the ball to Almeria's 42%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.54 to 3.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Almeria's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Elche and 1.67 for Almeria.
What was the final score of Elche vs Almeria?
Elche 1-2 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elche vs Almeria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Elche 47%, draw 27%, Almeria 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.