08/11/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Lazio U20 vs Cremonese U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
23%
Draw
23%
28%
Away Win
24%
40%
Under 2.5
42%
60%
Over 2.5
58%
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
42%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio U20 v Cremonese U20 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lazio U20
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cremonese U20
EU Bookmakers 28%
+31% /
+31%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+39% /
+39%
2.50/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.02/2.53
+19%
/
+28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+126%
/
-31%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
323 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
322 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
POST-MATCH
Lazio U20 vs Cremonese U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lazio U20 swept aside Cremonese U20 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lazio U20 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Lazio U20 vs Cremonese U20?
Lazio U20 3-0 Cremonese U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio U20 vs Cremonese U20?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lazio U20 49%, draw 23%, Cremonese U20 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio U20), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lazio U20)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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