Frosinone 1-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Nov 2024

Frosinone
1-1 HT 1-1
Palermo
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Frosinone vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 32% vs market 31.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.41
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
13%
5.81
X/2
12%
4.93
X/X
10%
4.03
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.5
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Frosinone v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.57/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.30
+18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
17.3 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Frosinone vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Palermo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 1.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
291 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2023 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
17.09.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
16.06.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 2-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
13.06.2018 Palermo Palermo 2-1 HT 1-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
10.03.2018 Palermo Palermo 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
14.10.2017 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB

Frosinone 1-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
1-1
AWAY Palermo
0.46 xG 0.69
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
202 Passes 377
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone and Palermo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Frosinone had 39% of the ball to Palermo's 61%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.46 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Frosinone and 0.67 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Palermo?

Frosinone 1-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 35%, draw 28%, Palermo 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palermo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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