Freiburg (K) 2-2 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 8 Nov 2024

Freiburg (K)
2-2 HT 2-0
Bayern München (K)
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Freiburg (K) vs Bayern München (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
63%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
48%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
5%
+14.2pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.6pp
63%
Away Win
84%
-21.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Bayern München (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.56/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.31
+32% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +32%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 481 · 86%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
13.0 Crosses 16.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Freiburg (K) vs Bayern München (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bayern München (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.00 xG 1.60
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
243 Passes 560
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
5 Box Touches 48
6 Crosses 21
The Meetings
05.02.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
15.09.2023 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB

Freiburg (K) 2-2 Bayern München (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
2-2
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.72 xG 2.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 471
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 30
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) and Bayern München (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Bayern München (K) carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 40% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 60%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.72 to 2.36.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Freiburg (K) and 3.00 for Bayern München (K).

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Freiburg (K) 2-2 Bayern München (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 19%, draw 18%, Bayern München (K) 63%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern München (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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