RFC Liege 2-1 RWDM 47 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

RFC Liege
2-1 HT 1-1
RWDM 47
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2024/2025

RFC Liege vs RWDM 47 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
53%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.1
Over 2.5
63%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.06
6+ Goals
14%
9.73
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+0.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RFC Liege v RWDM 47 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.54/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.05
-35% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
21.2 Crosses 16.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

RFC Liege 2-1 RWDM 47 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
2-1
AWAY RWDM 47
0.81 xG 1.24
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 12
268 Passes 437
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs RWDM 47
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege edged past RWDM 47 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was RWDM 47 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, RFC Liege had 41% of the ball to RWDM 47's 59%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.81 to 1.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured RWDM 47.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs RWDM 47?

RFC Liege 2-1 RWDM 47 in the Belgium - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs RWDM 47?

Before kick-off our model rated an RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 24%, draw 23%, RWDM 47 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RWDM 47) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
8 Nov 2024
22:00 Lierse Kempenzonen vs Lokeren-Temse Analysis →