Oued Magrane 1-0 HB Chelghoum Laid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
37%
3.11
Away
18%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
37%
Draw
29%
+8.0pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-6.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oued Magrane EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Chelghoum Laid EU Bookmakers 28%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.32/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.31
+94% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oued Magrane
1W-0D-0L
AWAY HB Chelghoum Laid
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.02.2024 Oued Magrane 3-0 HB Chelghoum Laid HB Chelghoum Laid CZYR2
POST-MATCH Oued Magrane vs HB Chelghoum Laid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oued Magrane squeezed past HB Chelghoum Laid 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oued Magrane as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Oued Magrane vs HB Chelghoum Laid?

Oued Magrane 1-0 HB Chelghoum Laid in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oued Magrane vs HB Chelghoum Laid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oued Magrane win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oued Magrane 45%, draw 37%, HB Chelghoum Laid 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oued Magrane), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oued Magrane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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