Chabab Ben Guerir 1-2 Yacoub El Mansour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.05
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
45%
+5.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Yacoub El Mansour EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
0.77/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-45% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +138% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Chabab Ben Guerir vs Yacoub El Mansour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yacoub El Mansour squeezed past Chabab Ben Guerir 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chabab Ben Guerir at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs Yacoub El Mansour?

Chabab Ben Guerir 1-2 Yacoub El Mansour in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Yacoub El Mansour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Ben Guerir win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 51%, draw 30%, Yacoub El Mansour 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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