Marsilya 1-3 Auxerre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 8 Nov 2024

Marsilya
1-3 HT 0-3
Auxerre
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Marsilya vs Auxerre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.38
Over Pick
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.94
2-3
38%
1.95
4-5
30%
2.78
6+
13%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.1
X/1
16%
3.77
X/2
5%
12.9
X/X
9%
6.88
2/1
8%
20.3
2/2
12%
9.35
2/X
4%
17.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Marsilya v Auxerre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Auxerre The Market 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
2.06/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.87
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.3 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Marsilya vs Auxerre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Auxerre
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.21 xG 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
454 Passes 339
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
30.04.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 2-1 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
03.09.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 0-2 HT 0-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
10.02.2021 Auxerre Auxerre 0-2 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FRK
13.05.2012 Marsilya Marsilya 3-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
14.08.2011 Auxerre Auxerre 2-2 HT 0-2 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
01.05.2011 Marsilya Marsilya 1-1 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1

Marsilya 1-3 Auxerre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya
1-3
AWAY Auxerre
2.59 xG 1.92
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
583 Passes 145
89% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Marsilya vs Auxerre
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Auxerre beat Marsilya 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Marsilya at 56% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The market had leaned harder still (1.47, ~68%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 74% to 26% in Marsilya's favour, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.59 to 1.92 — on chances, Marsilya could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Marsilya against 0.67 for Auxerre.

Marsilya vs Auxerre Result & Final Score

Marsilya 1-3 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Marsilya vs Auxerre Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 56%, draw 22%, Auxerre 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marsilya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsilya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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