Santos de Guapiles 1-0 Santa Ana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.66/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.26
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Santa Ana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 Santa Ana 1-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Santa Ana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles squeezed past Santa Ana 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Santos de Guapiles as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Santa Ana?

Santos de Guapiles 1-0 Santa Ana in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Santa Ana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos de Guapiles win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 42%, draw 25%, Santa Ana 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos de Guapiles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
8 Nov 2024
05:00 Perez Zeledon vs Deportivo Saprissa Analysis →