Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Riyadh v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals
Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Al Riyadh
SUUD
Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr squeezed past Al Riyadh 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Riyadh had 34% of the ball to Al Nassr's 66%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.33 to 2.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Nassr's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Riyadh and 3.00 for Al Nassr.
What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 18%, draw 19%, Al Nassr 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.