MKE Ankaragücü 3-0 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 33% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.71
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.45
X/1
16%
3.56
X/2
5%
14.75
X/X
5%
6.17
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
9%
12.0
2/X
7%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-5.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.71/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.12
-8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +120%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
23.6 Crosses 11.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
3-0
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
1.09 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü swept aside Esenler Erokspor 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 52% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 48%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.09 to 1.35.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Esenler Erokspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 3-0 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 60%, draw 20%, Esenler Erokspor 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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