Sukhothai 5-2 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

Sukhothai
5-2 HT 2-1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Sukhothai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.9pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sukhothai v Nong Bua Pitchaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.98/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.27
+11% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
28.2 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sukhothai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.70 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
374 Passes 224
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.11.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-0 HT 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY

Sukhothai 5-2 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
5-2
AWAY Nong Bua Pitchaya
2.20 xG 0.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
292 Passes 311
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai cruised past Nong Bua Pitchaya 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sukhothai as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sukhothai had 48% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 52%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.20 to 0.41.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Sukhothai 5-2 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sukhothai win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 47%, draw 23%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 30%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sukhothai), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sukhothai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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