Wellington Olympic 4-1 Western Suburbs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
24%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
4.0
Over Pick
74%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
12%
2-3
28%
4-5
41%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 74%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.9pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+13.3pp
26%
Under 2.5
22%
+4.2pp
74%
Over 2.5
78%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Olympic EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Suburbs EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+43% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Olympic
4-1
AWAY Western Suburbs
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 12
15 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wellington Olympic vs Western Suburbs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Olympic cruised past Western Suburbs 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wellington Olympic as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wellington Olympic had 54% of the ball to Western Suburbs's 46%, shots finished 23-12.

What was the final score of Wellington Olympic vs Western Suburbs?

Wellington Olympic 4-1 Western Suburbs in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Olympic vs Western Suburbs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Wellington Olympic 60%, draw 16%, Western Suburbs 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Olympic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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