Utsiktens BK 1-4 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.41
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.09
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
16%
5.48
X/2
7%
6.72
X/X
11%
5.61
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
15%
4.22
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.59/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.33
+1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Umea FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.05.2025 Umea FC Umea FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC swept aside Utsiktens BK 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Utsiktens BK at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs Umea FC?

Utsiktens BK 1-4 Umea FC in the Sweden - Superettan on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utsiktens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 47%, draw 24%, Umea FC 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utsiktens BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utsiktens BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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