Atletico Astorga 1-1 UD Ourense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.27
No
47%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+13.0pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Astorga EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 37%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.67/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-41% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Astorga
1-1
AWAY UD Ourense
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Atletico Astorga vs UD Ourense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Astorga and UD Ourense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Astorga had 33% of the ball to UD Ourense's 67%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Atletico Astorga vs UD Ourense?

Atletico Astorga 1-1 UD Ourense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Astorga vs UD Ourense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Astorga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Astorga 38%, draw 28%, UD Ourense 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Astorga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Astorga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
8 Nov 2025
17:30 Rayo Cantabria vs Gimnastica Segoviana Analysis →
18:00 Castellon II vs Espanyol II Analysis →
18:30 Lorca Deportiva vs Deportiva Minera Analysis →
19:00 Colonia Moscardo vs Elche II Analysis →
19:30 Real Madrid III vs Fuenlabrada Analysis →
20:00 RSD Alcala vs Intercity Alicante Analysis →