Bayern Alzenau 1-1 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Nov 2025

Bayern Alzenau
1-1 HT 0-1
Homburg
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Bayern Alzenau vs Homburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
4.48
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
63%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
19%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
63%
Away Win
61%
+1.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.6pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern Alzenau v Homburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Alzenau EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.64/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.99
+40% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Bayern Alzenau vs Homburg Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Alzenau
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Homburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
The Meetings
05.06.2021 Homburg Homburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau ALMBÖL
19.12.2020 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 2-2 HT 0-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 0-2 HT 0-1 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
27.07.2019 Homburg Homburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayern Alzenau vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Alzenau and Homburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Homburg carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Homburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bayern Alzenau and 2.00 for Homburg.

What was the final score of Bayern Alzenau vs Homburg?

Bayern Alzenau 1-1 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Alzenau vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bayern Alzenau 14%, draw 23%, Homburg 63%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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