Budaiya 1-1 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 32% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budaiya EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 37%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.90
-100% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budaiya
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
43% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2022 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-1 Budaiya Budaiya BAH
16.10.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-0 Budaiya Budaiya BAH
16.04.2021 Budaiya Budaiya 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
25.03.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-1 Budaiya Budaiya BAHK
26.12.2020 Budaiya Budaiya 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Budaiya vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budaiya and Al Najma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Budaiya at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Budaiya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Budaiya and 0.20 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Budaiya vs Al Najma?

Budaiya 1-1 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budaiya vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budaiya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Budaiya 44%, draw 30%, Al Najma 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Budaiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Budaiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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