Ajax (K) 2-1 PSV Eindhoven (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
2.05
Draw
16%
3.54
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
45%
+12.6pp
16%
Draw
25%
-9.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
234 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
356 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 0
22.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
07.12.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
2-1
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
433 Passes 237
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) squeezed past PSV Eindhoven (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 61% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven (K)'s 39%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ajax (K) and 2.50 for PSV Eindhoven (K).

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Ajax (K) 2-1 PSV Eindhoven (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 57%, draw 16%, PSV Eindhoven (K) 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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