Monastir 2-0 Kairouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
7%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.53
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.66
6+ Goals
7%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 32% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
32%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
71%
+3.0pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.6pp
7%
Away Win
10%
-2.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.7pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monastir EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairouan EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
2.53/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.74
+55% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -14%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
416 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monastir
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kairouan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2021 Kairouan Kairouan 0-1 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN1
10.01.2021 Monastir Monastir 1-0 HT 0-0 Kairouan Kairouan TUN1
09.11.2019 Monastir Monastir 3-0 HT 1-0 Kairouan Kairouan TUN1
POST-MATCH Monastir vs Kairouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir saw off Kairouan 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monastir as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Monastir had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monastir and 0.00 for Kairouan.

What was the final score of Monastir vs Kairouan?

Monastir 2-0 Kairouan in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monastir vs Kairouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Monastir 74%, draw 19%, Kairouan 7%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monastir), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monastir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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