Panaitolikos 3-0 AE Larissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.98
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.04
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
19%
5.07
X/2
13%
7.21
X/X
10%
4.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
5.28
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.27/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.06
+5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
19.5 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
3W-2D-1L
AWAY AE Larissa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.89 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
236 Passes 242
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.08.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos HAZ
03.04.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
28.02.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
07.12.2020 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-1 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
15.06.2020 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-0 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
22.01.2020 AE Larissa AE Larissa 2-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
3-0
AWAY AE Larissa
2.45 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
390 Passes 331
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs AE Larissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos cruised past AE Larissa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Panaitolikos as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 53% of the ball to AE Larissa's 47%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 2.45 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Panaitolikos and 0.83 for AE Larissa.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs AE Larissa?

Panaitolikos 3-0 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs AE Larissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 44%, draw 26%, AE Larissa 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panaitolikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panaitolikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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