Chelsea (K) 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.18
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
29%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.99
No
35%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
80%
-33.0pp
24%
Draw
13%
+10.4pp
29%
Away Win
7%
+22.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.3pp
65%
BTTS Yes
46%
+18.5pp
35%
BTTS No
54%
-18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.28/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.64
+14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -20%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
560 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 67%
40.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
27.4 Crosses 7.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.23 xG 0.59
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
444 Passes 170
82% Pass Accuracy 63%
42 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.09.2019 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
09.12.2018 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
30.09.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
4-2
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
4.31 xG 2.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
31 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 8
396 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
50 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) beat Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 56% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 44%, shots finished 31-18, expected goals 4.31 to 2.86.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.33 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Chelsea (K) 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 47%, draw 24%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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