Tenerife (K) 2-2 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.87
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+11.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
33%
Away Win
52%
-18.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
Crosses 28.2
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.31 xG 1.29
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
198 Passes 395
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife (K)
2-2
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
2.77 xG 1.13
40% Ball Possession 60%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
150 Passes 285
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tenerife (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife (K) and Atletico Madrid (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tenerife (K) had 40% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 60%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.77 to 1.13.

What was the final score of Tenerife (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Tenerife (K) 2-2 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tenerife (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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