Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.71
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
14%
4.98
X/2
11%
9.02
X/X
12%
6.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
25.0
2/2
8%
6.25
2/X
6%
15.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +14%
1.95/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.51
+26% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.6 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2W-2D-2L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.19 xG 2.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
292 Passes 330
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2021 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 HT 2-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
04.05.2019 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-2 HT 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
29.04.2018 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-3 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
15.05.2017 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
08.08.2016 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
27.04.2015 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.14 xG 1.10
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 438
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy squeezed past New York Red Bulls 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 41% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 59%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.14 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 2.00 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs New York Red Bulls?

Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 51%, draw 24%, New York Red Bulls 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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